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Advantage: Difference between revisions

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(→‎Chances of succeeding a specific roll: Sentences too difficult to understand. The table already makes it clear, I think.)
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==Math==
==Math==
=== Chances of succeeding a specific roll===
=== Chances of succeeding a specific roll===
The benefits of rolling with advantage (or the detriments of rolling with disadvantage) change depending on the target number you need on the 1d20 roll to succeed. The bonus from advantage can be as large as 24-25% when needing a 9, 10, 11, 12, or 13  on the 1d20 roll, and as small as 9% if one needs to roll a 19.
The benefits of rolling with advantage (or the detriments of rolling with disadvantage) change depending on the target number you need on the 1d20 roll to succeed. The bonus from advantage can be as large as 24-25% when needing a 9, 10, 11, 12, or 13  on the 1d20 roll, and as small as 9% if one needs to roll a 19.
 
The probability typically increases from 21% to 25%
except for parts with too high or too low probability ({{math|x}} < 35% or 85% < {{math|x}}) that do not require Advantage.
And 25% worth 5 on the dice. So you can add 5 or 4 to know the approximation.


{| class="wikitable mw-collapsible <!--mw-collapsed-->"
{| class="wikitable mw-collapsible <!--mw-collapsed-->"
|+Chance of rolling a target number or above on 1d20
|+Chance of rolling a target number or above on 1d20
|-
|-
!Target on 1d20!!Normal Roll!! Roll With Advantage!!Roll With Disadvantage
!Target on 1d20!!Normal Roll!! Roll With Advantage!!Roll With Disadvantage!!Gap between Normal and (Dis)advantage
|-
|-
|1|| 100% || 100%||100%
|1|| 100% || 100%||100%||0%
|-
|-
|2||95%|| 99.75%||90.25%
|2||95%|| 99.75%||90.25%||4.75%
|-
|-
|3||90% ||99%||81%
|3||90% ||99%||81%||9%
|-
|-
|4 ||85%|| 97.75% ||72.25%
|4 ||85%|| 97.75% ||72.25%||12.75%
|-
|-
| 5||80%|| 96%||64%
| 5||80%|| 96%||64%||16%
|-
|-
|6||75% || 93.75%|| 56.25%
|6||75% || 93.75%|| 56.25%||18.75%
|-
|-
|7
|7
| 70%||91%||49%
| 70%||91%||49%||21%
|-
|-
|8||65% ||87.75%||42.25%
|8||65% ||87.75%||42.25%||22.75%
|-
|-
|9||60% ||84%||36%
|9||60% ||84%||36%||24%
|-
|-
|10||55%||79.75%||30.25%
|10||55%||79.75%||30.25%||24.75%
|-
|-
|11||50%||75%||25%
|11||50%||75%||25%||25%
|-
|-
|12 ||45%|| 69.75%||20.25%
|12 ||45%|| 69.75%||20.25%||24.75%
|-
|-
|13||40%||64%||16%
|13||40%||64%||16%||24%
|-
|-
|14||35%|| 57.75% || 12.25%
|14||35%|| 57.75% || 12.25%||22.75%
|-
|-
|15||30% ||51%||9%
|15||30% ||51%||9%||21%
|-
|-
|16||25% ||43.75%||6.25%
|16||25% ||43.75%||6.25%||18.75%
|-
|-
|17||20% ||36%||4%
|17||20% ||36%||4%||16%
|-
|-
|18||15% ||27.75%||2.25%
|18||15% ||27.75%||2.25%||12.75%
|-
|-
|19||10% ||19%||1%
|19||10% ||19%||1%||9%
|-
|-
|20||5%|| 9.75%||0.25%
|20||5%|| 9.75%||0.25%||4.75%
|}
|}



Revision as of 14:44, 30 August 2024

Advantage Icon.png Advantage and Disadvantage Icon.png Disadvantage are gameplay mechanics that can greatly affect the success of dice rolls. They only apply to D20.png d20 rolls: Attack Rolls, Saving Throws, and Ability Checks. They never apply to Damage Rolls, though other features and effects can make a character re-roll damage dice in other ways.

Advantage

When you roll with Advantage Icon.png Advantage, you roll two dice and use the higher result. You either have advantage or you don't: it doesn't stack to grant more than a second die, regardless of how many sources of advantage you have.

Example: You roll two D20.png d20 for an Attack Roll, the results are 16 and 4. Your effective result is 16.

Having advantage raises the average of your roll by 3.325 to 13.825. (For the math, see below.)

Examples of situations that grant Advantage Icon.png Advantage on attack rolls:

Disadvantage

When you roll with Disadvantage Icon.png Disadvantage, you roll two dice and use the lower result. As with advantage, you either have disadvantage or you don't: it doesn't stack to force you to roll more than a second die, regardless of how many sources of disadvantage you have.

Example: You roll two D20.png d20 for an Attack Roll. The results are 16 and 4. Your effective result is 4.

On a D20, having disadvantage lowers the average of your roll by 3.325 to 7.175. (For the math, see below.)

Examples of situations that grant Disadvantage Icon.png Disadvantage on attack rolls:

  • Trying to make a ranged attack against an enemy that is within 5ft and making you Threatened.
  • Various spells and abilities that grant Disadvantage.

Advantage and Disadvantage

Having both Advantage Icon.png Advantage and Disadvantage Icon.png Disadvantage means they cancel each other out, and you roll one die as if you had neither. Because neither advantage or disadvantage stack, having multiple sources of either doesn't change this: even if you have three sources of Advantage, a single source of Disadvantage will cancel it, and vice versa.

Math

Chances of succeeding a specific roll

The benefits of rolling with advantage (or the detriments of rolling with disadvantage) change depending on the target number you need on the 1d20 roll to succeed. The bonus from advantage can be as large as 24-25% when needing a 9, 10, 11, 12, or 13 on the 1d20 roll, and as small as 9% if one needs to roll a 19.

Chance of rolling a target number or above on 1d20
Target on 1d20 Normal Roll Roll With Advantage Roll With Disadvantage Gap between Normal and (Dis)advantage
1 100% 100% 100% 0%
2 95% 99.75% 90.25% 4.75%
3 90% 99% 81% 9%
4 85% 97.75% 72.25% 12.75%
5 80% 96% 64% 16%
6 75% 93.75% 56.25% 18.75%
7 70% 91% 49% 21%
8 65% 87.75% 42.25% 22.75%
9 60% 84% 36% 24%
10 55% 79.75% 30.25% 24.75%
11 50% 75% 25% 25%
12 45% 69.75% 20.25% 24.75%
13 40% 64% 16% 24%
14 35% 57.75% 12.25% 22.75%
15 30% 51% 9% 21%
16 25% 43.75% 6.25% 18.75%
17 20% 36% 4% 16%
18 15% 27.75% 2.25% 12.75%
19 10% 19% 1% 9%
20 5% 9.75% 0.25% 4.75%

Effects on the average of dice rolls

A more general way of looking at advantage/disadvantage is calculating the effect on the average of dice rolls. On average, the bonus/penalty is +/-3.325. This makes it more broadly applicable than looking at specific rolls and makes it easier to compare to other bonuses and penalties which may apply to a roll.

For this we first need to clarify the notations used below: D represents an -sided die, is the probability that a variable has value , denotes the average or expected value of a roll, and denotes the sum of a series of numbers over an index with going from through .

The formula to calculate the expected value, , of a variable is equal to the sum of every possible value of multiplied by the chance for to have that value. In the case of an -sided die, D, this becomes:

For a regular dice roll the probability distribution is uniform, which means for any , and using , we get

For a dice roll with advantage the chance to roll the number is equal to the chance that the first die rolls multiplied by the chance that the second die rolls or less, multiplied by 2 (because the 2 dice are interchangeable), minus the chance of both dice rolling (because we counted that possibility twice by multiplying by 2). This gives

Applying that to the formula of an average of a die D we get

Here we can use that the sum of squares is , which gives

To know what bonus having advantage gives to our roll, we calculate

When we apply this expression to a d20 we get that having advantage is equivalent to an average bonus of +3.325.

Because of symmetry, having disadvantage instead of advantage means we can simply make the permutation of for the values of dice rolls and all the calculations will remain the same. Therefore the size of the bonus of advantage is equal to the size of the penalty of disadvantage.

Effects on critical successes and failures

When making an ability check, attack roll or saving throw, a 1 or a 20 will always be treated as a critical failure or success, respectively, regardless of the results after any potential modifiers are added. On a dice roll without advantage or disadvantage, this effectively means there is a (or 5%) chance of either a critical success or failure.

Having advantage or disadvantage can drastically increase or reduce the chance of critical successes and Failures. For example, when rolling with advantage, the only way to get a Critical Failure is to roll two 1s at the same time. The odds of this result is (or 0.25%). Conversely, rolling a Critical Success is far more likely - out of the 400 possible dice roll outcomes, 39 will result in a 20 (rolling 20 on the first die and 1, 2, 3, ... 20 on the second die, plus rolling 20 on the second die and 1, 2, 3, ... 20 on the first die, minus one so that the result of two 20s is not doubly-counted). The odds of this result is (or 9.75%). The opposite is true for rolling with Disadvantage: a Critical Success has a 0.25% chance and a Critical Failure has a 9.75% chance.

Effectively, rolling with advantage means that critical failures are 20 times less likely and critical successes are almost twice as likely, and the inverse is true for disadvantage.

Chance of Critical Successes and Failures with Advantage and Disadvantage
Outcome Normal Roll Roll With Advantage Roll With Disadvantage
Critical Failure (1) 5% 0.25% 9.75%
Critical Success (20) 5% 9.75% 0.25%

Similar effects

While advantage and disadvantage only apply to D20.png d20 rolls, some character features can grant a similar bonus to other rolls. The clearest example is Savage Attacker, a feat which has a character roll all melee damage dice twice, taking the highest result. This is effectively advantage on melee damage rolls, though none of the advantage rules apply: the effect can stack with others that double damage dice, and there is no similar negative effect that gives you the equivalent of disadvantage on damage.

Using the result of the calculations above to see what the average bonus to our damage becomes, depending on what dice the weapon uses.

Expected Bonus Damage from Savage Attacker
Damage Die Average Bonus Damage Average Bonus %
1d4 0.625 +25.0%
1d6 0.972 +27.8%
1d8 1.313 +29.2%
1d10 1.650 +30.0%
1d12 1.986 +30.6%
2d6 1.944 +27.8%

Note that Savage Attacker also applies to ALL additional damage dice from ANY source added to a weapon, but not Sneak Damage because those are not bonus dice added to the weapon damage. For example, the Halberd of Vigilance (1d10 slashing damage and 1d4 force damage) which was dipped in fire (1d4 fire damage) will, on average, do 1.65 + 0.625 + 0.625 = 2.9 (+27.6%) more damage with Savage Attacker.

See Also

External Links